Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.442251 0.481671 0.524425 0.574488 0.631822 0.695817 0.773192
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.363808 0.419580 0.485502 0.570420 0.678810 0.815301 1.004906
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.315304 0.379604 0.460809 0.573831 0.732208 0.955072 1.310810
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.276918 0.344045 0.433119 0.564794 0.763933 1.072508 1.633690
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.256302 0.327554 0.426469 0.581259 0.833658 1.266134 2.177620
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.231779 0.302009 0.402615 0.566603 0.849378 1.373498 2.624650
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.208589 0.275555 0.373671 0.538441 0.834766 1.418807 2.965734
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.189785 0.253572 0.348791 0.512775 0.818576 1.455207 3.315166
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.181614 0.246494 0.345907 0.523351 0.872214 1.661264 4.365666
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.178230 0.246214 0.353525 0.553207 0.971540 2.022401 6.534047
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.170192 0.237902 0.346941 0.555734 1.013309 2.256346 8.702243
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.160313 0.225882 0.332920 0.541960 1.014812 2.374874 10.582577
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.151028 0.214584 0.319835 0.529753 1.021225 2.528625 13.501442
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.143358 0.205542 0.310143 0.523673 1.043395 2.762108 18.796809
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.137536 0.199168 0.304653 0.525680 1.088185 3.124652 30.144614
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.130855 0.190886 0.294956 0.517324 1.102901 3.382393 45.938125
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.127694 0.188346 0.295555 0.531634 1.187736 4.069450 119.243511
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.121502 0.180162 0.284822 0.518688 1.186299 4.309846 224.494574
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.114419 0.170051 0.269716 0.493864 1.141427 4.260030 309.305467
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.108087 0.160973 0.256069 0.471191 1.099463 4.206899 439.611583
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.105800 0.158909 0.255859 0.480533 1.167338 4.984339 22252.649657
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.105393 0.160146 0.262202 0.506858 1.305789 6.638781 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.102570 0.156841 0.259157 0.509082 1.356540 7.693135 NaN